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US Leading Indicator
Offered by e-forecasting.com
Short-term
adjustments, decision-making and policy design rely heavily on
measuring and tracking both present conditions and changes in
direction of business activity. Indicator agility was the goal
in building eLEI, our US Leading Indicator, for the US economy.
As a result, eLEI provides a unique real-data and real-time
predictive intelligence tool useful to our clients. Five key
advantages make eLEI an indispensable tool for short-term
predictions:
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It is fast.
eLEI is available the first business day of each month
providing a reading of the previous month, just hours after
the month’s closing.
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It is factual.
All data of all components comprising eLEI are real,
complete and never revised.
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It is modern.
eLEI includes two ‘new’ components covering the areas of
technology and globalization that undoubtedly have been
driving the U.S. business cycle.
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It is first.
eLEI has a ‘natural’ two to three month leading advantage
over the untimely traditional leading indices.
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It is
reliable. Back-tested it to 1959, eLEI predicts turning
points for the US business cycle as good as the traditional
leading indicators offered by the Conference Board and OECD.
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US Leading Index For January 2010
(February 8, 2010 graph)
US Leading Economic Index rose in
January 2010
(February 8, 2010, graph)
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