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The semiconductor
industry has spiked and dropped dramatically over the past
twenty years. These trends vary by region. With this in mind, we
have developed regional semiconductor industry leading
indicators and forecasts which clearly paint the picture of the
industry’s turning points in each of the major regions in the
global economy: North America, Europe, Asia Pacific and also
Japan.
A look at regional
semiconductor leading indicator reports and forecasts is an
indispensable tool in comparing regions, or focusing on a single
region to help determine the best allocation of resources and
areas of potential growth.
e-forecasting
has developed the semiconductor industry regional leading
indicators as composite leading indicators, designed to signal
peaks and troughs in the business cycle of the industry before
these turning points in economic activity take place. The main
value of the leading indicator is in signaling that either the
risk of a recession has increased or that a recession may be
coming to an end.
In the last two
decades, the global semiconductor industry has gone from just a
$1.5 billion dollar industry to nearly $30 billion. It has
experienced four recessions, all signaled by preceding weakness
in our global semiconductor industry leading indicator.
Notable Semiconductor Industry
Leading Indicator Highlights:
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The Asia
Pacific region has experienced four recessions, the last
ending in July 2001. Since then, the index has increased
from 60 to over 350, the highest jump of any of the major
regions. |
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The Japanese
semiconductor leading indicator has experienced seven
recessions, all lasting a short period of time, less than
two years. The index has increased twenty fold over the last
two decades. |
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The European
semiconductor leading indicator has a long-term growth rate
of 9.4%. Since mid-2004, the growth rate has been held well
below this average. |
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In North
America, the semiconductor industry experienced a lengthy
last recession, spanning nearly five years. Overall, the
North American semiconductor leading indicator has helped
identify five total recessions, two mini recessions and
three long-term recessions... |

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North America Semiconductor Industry Leading Indicator
European Semiconductor Industry Leading Indicator
Japanese Semiconductor Industry Leading Indicator
Asia Pacific Semiconductor Industry Leading Indicator
Global Semiconductor Industry Leading Indicator

North America Semiconductor
Industry (graph March 27, 2008)
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Europe Semiconductor Industry
(graph March 27, 2008)
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Japan Semiconductor Industry
(graph March 27, 2008)
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Asia Pacific Semiconductor
Industry (graph March 27, 2008)
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Asia Pacific Semiconductor Industry Leading Indicator
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World Semiconductor Industry
(graph March 27, 2008)
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Please
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