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NORTH AMERICA SEMICONDUCTOR CHIP SALES LEADING INDICATOR DOWN IN JULY

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Contact:
Maria E. Simos
65 Newmarket Road
Durham, NH 03824
Phone: 603-868-7436
http://www.e-forecasting.com
info@e-forecasting.com

e-forecasting.com releases North America Semiconductor Leading Indicator


NORTH AMERICA SEMICONDUCTOR CHIP SALES LEADING INDICATOR DOWN IN JULY

Durham, NH – September 3rd 2008 Economic research firm e-forecasting.com today announced that the North American Semiconductor Chip Sales leading indicator decreased by 0.3 percent to a reading of 203.6, following an increase of 0.4 percent in June. The index was set to average 100 in 2000.

The indicator, comparable to the company’s other global regional semiconductor industry indicators for Japan, Asia Pacific and Europe, is a forward-looking composite index that forecasts six months ahead, on average, business activity in the region for sales for semiconductors.

“The six month growth rate has gone up the last three readings, which is a good sign for the industry. Typically, once the direction of the index moves from negative to positive, the trend continues,” noted CEO Maria Simos. The six-month growth rate is commonly used in business cycle analysis for both signaling impending turning points in business activity and as a recession monitor. In July, the chip sales leading indicator rose 1.2 percent, after an increase of 1.6 percent in June. Consecutive negative values in the indicator's six-month growth rate predict an end to an economic expansion and the beginning of an upcoming recession.

Three of the nine components that make up the leading indicator for semiconductor sales in the Americas market improved in July: Non-US Demand Outlook, 35-Country Leading Index; Interest Rate Spread, US Financial Markets and Long-Term US Consumer Expectations. The six components that had a negative contribution to the leading indicator for semiconductor sales in the Americas market were: Productivity Barometer, US Manufacturing; Weekly Production Hours, US Semiconductors; Change in Profit Margins, US Semiconductors; Ratio of Orders to Inventories, US Electronics; US Housing Market Barometer and Business Activity, US Manufacturers.

e-forecasting.com, an international economic research and consulting firm, offers forecasts of the economic environment using proprietary real-time economic indicators and produces company and industry-specific leading indicators for its clients. In cooperation with its affiliate, Infometrica, Inc., e-forecasting.com works with business publications and clients across the globe to provide industry, country and state-level economic content on a monthly and quarterly basis thus their predictive intelligence input is used by practitioners around the world.

For complimentary chart to accompany this, see PDF file or further information: http://www.e-forecasting.com  or

Contact: info@e-forecasting.com
Phone: 603-868-7436

 

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