e-forecasting.com releases European Semiconductor Industry Leading Indicator

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EUROPEAN SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRY LEADING INDICATOR FALLS IN JULY

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Contact:
Maria E. Simos
65 Newmarket Road
Durham, NH 03824
Phone: 603-868-7436
http://www.e-forecasting.com
info@e-forecasting.com

e-forecasting.com releases European Semiconductor Industry Leading Indicator

EUROPEAN SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRY LEADING INDICATOR FALLS IN JULY

Durham, NH – September 3rd 2008 Economic research firm e-forecasting.com today announced that the European Semiconductor Sales leading indicator fell in July by 0.1 percent to a reading of 153.2, after increasing 0.4 percent in June. The index was set to average 100 in 2000.

The indicator, comparable to the company’s other global regional semiconductor industry indicators for North America, Asia Pacific and Japan, is a forward-looking composite index that forecasts six months ahead, on average, business activity in the region for sales for semiconductors.

“The six month growth rate of the European chip sales leading indicator is starting to get out of negative territory, with three positive readings in a row. If this trend continues over the next couple of months, the slowdown will be short-lived and the industry may avoid a major setback in sales” said CEO Maria Simos. The six-month growth rate is commonly used in business cycle analysis for both signaling impending turning points in business activity and as a recession monitor. In July, the chip leading indicator rose 0.7 percent, after an increase of 0.9 percent in June. Consecutive negative values in the indicator's six-month growth rate predict an end to an economic expansion and the beginning of an upcoming recession.

Two of the seven components that make up the leading indicator for semiconductor sales in the European market improved in July: Non-EU Demand Prospects, Top-10 partner-countries and US Monetary Conditions, Yield Spread. The five components that had a negative contribution to the leading indicator for semiconductor sales in the European market were: Productivity Barometer, US Manufacturing; Productivity Barometer, European Manufacturing; Change in Profit Margins, US Semiconductors; Orders to Inventories Ratio, US Electronics and European Short-term Interest Rates.

e-forecasting.com, an international economic research and consulting firm, offers forecasts of the economic environment using proprietary real-time economic indicators and produces company and industry-specific leading indicators for its clients. In cooperation with its affiliate, Infometrica, Inc., e-forecasting.com works with business publications and clients across the globe to provide industry, country and state-level economic content on a monthly and quarterly basis thus their predictive intelligence input is used by practitioners around the world.



For a full press release including charts, please see attached PDF or contact:
Maria E. Simos info@e-forecasting.com
Phone: 603-868-7436

 

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