e-forecasting.com releases Asia Pacific Semiconductor Industry Leading Indicator

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ASIA PACIFIC CHIP SALES LEADING INDICATOR UP IN JULY

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Contact:
Maria E. Simos
65 Newmarket Road
Durham, NH 03824
Phone: 603-868-7436
http://www.e-forecasting.com
info@e-forecasting.com

e-forecasting.com releases Asia Pacific Semiconductor Industry Leading Indicator

ASIA PACIFIC CHIP SALES LEADING INDICATOR UP IN JULY

Durham, NH USA– September 3rd, 2008 – Economic research firm e-forecasting.com today announced that the Asia Pacific Semiconductor Chip Sales leading indicator increased in July by 0.5 percent to a reading of 359.4, after declining 1.8 percent in June. The index was set to average 100 in 2000.

The indicator, comparable to the company’s other global regional semiconductor industry indicators for North America, Japan and Europe, is a forward-looking composite index that forecasts six months ahead, on average, business activity in the region for equipment sales for semiconductors.

“The Asia Pacific chip sales leading indicator is coming off a peak reached last July, since then the index has gone down 30 points,” stated CEO Maria Simos. The six-month growth rate is commonly used in business cycle analysis for both signaling impending turning points in business activity and as a recession monitor. In July, the chip equipment leading indicator fell 6.5 percent, after a decline of 8.7 percent in June. Consecutive negative values in the indicator's six-month growth rate predict an end to an economic expansion and the beginning of an upcoming recession.

Three of the six components that make up the leading indicator for semiconductor sales in the Asia Pacific market improved in July: Monetary Conditions, US Yield Curve; North America Demand Outlook, NAFTA Composite Leading Index and Japanese Demand Outlook, Leading Diffusion Index. The three components that had a negative contribution to the leading indicator for semiconductor sales in the Asia Pacific market were: Asia Pacific Demand Prospects, 10-Country Leading Index; New Orders for Computers & Electronics, US Manufacturers and EU (Germany, UK & France) Demand Outlook, Composite Leading Index.

e-forecasting.com, an international economic research and consulting firm, offers forecasts of the economic environment using proprietary real-time economic indicators and produces company and industry-specific leading indicators for its clients. In cooperation with its affiliate, Infometrica, Inc., e-forecasting.com works with business publications and clients across the globe to provide industry, country and state-level economic content on a monthly and quarterly basis thus their predictive intelligence input is used by practitioners around the world.



For a full press release including charts, please see attached PDF or contact:
Maria E. Simos info@e-forecasting.com
Phone: 603-868-7436

 

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