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EFC Hotel News Update


December 10, 2014
e-forecasting.com eNews

New Hotel Market Profitability Forecasts Launched Today!

Even bigger news than our November eLEI reading (which is still below) is that today we are officially launching a new hotel market product in partnership with HotStats: Hotel Market Profitability Forecasts. Full press release follows:


London and Regional UK hotels set for growth in TRevPAR and GOPPAR in 2014 and 2015


Regional UK total revenue per available room (TRevPAR) and gross operating profit per available room (GOPPAR) are forecast to rise by the end of the year by 6.5% and 14.4% respectively, while London will also experience positive year-on-year comparison but at a slower pace with TRevPAR and GOPPAR going up in 2014 by 1.3% and 1.8% respectively. Moreover, both Regional UK and London hotel markets will continue to grow in 2015 with rising TRevPAR and GOPPAR anticipated, according to the Hotel Market Profitability Forecast reports released by e-forecasting.com and HotStats.

The Hotel Market Profitability Forecasts reports are the first of their type to present a full picture of the health of the hotel industry with a focus on occupancy, average room rate (ARR), revenue per available room (RevPAR), total revenue per available room (TRevPAR), and gross operating profit per available room (GOPPAR).

"We are delighted to be working with HotStats in launching the first Hotel Market Profitability Forecasts" commented Maria Sogard, CEO of e-forecasting.com. “By drawing even further on the depth of HotStats' unique database, we are able to glean important insights to the hospitality industry. Quarter after quarter, our subscribers take a measure of the real health in their marketplace and the ever changing predictive analytics that are expected to drive hoteliers' business," Mrs. Sogard continued.

“HotStats has a long-standing commitment to deliver Total Revenue and Hotel Profitability as the ultimate hotel metrics. We are very excited about the new level of hotel market intelligence insights that our partnership with e-forecasting.com will allow us to bring to our current and future customers as well as to the industry as a whole,” added Pablo Alonso, General Manager of HotStats.

The Hotel Market Profitability Forecasts are real-time quarterly profitability forecasts covering major markets across the UK, Europe, Middle East and North Africa. Each quarterly Hotel Market Profitability Forecast report includes predictions for 24 months, 8 quarters and three years out for each of the key hotel performance metrics. Annual subscription is available for £1,500 + VAT for 4 quarterly reports or you can purchase one report for £850 + VAT. The next issues reporting on Quarter 4 will be released in January 2015. Please contact info@e-forecasting.com or enquiries@hotstats.com to purchase a report or subscription or should you have any questions.

IIn addition to reporting on forecasts of occupancy, ARR, RevPAR, TRevPAR and GOPPAR, the quarterly Hotel Market Profitability Forecasts also provides in-depth analysis of the economic environment and its relation to the forecast for each hotel market. This additional analysis includes country-wide hotel industry pulse (HIP) and hotel industry leading indicator (HIL) monthly readings, probabilities of an upcoming recession in the hotel industry, the country's monthly GDP, a foreign travel leading indicator specific to each market, labour market conditions, inflation, exchange and interest rates, energy prices and other special events.

About e-forecasting.com

e-forecasting.com, an international economic research and consulting firm, offers forecasts of the economic environment using proprietary, real-time economic indicators to produce customised solutions for what’s next. e−forecasting.com collaborates with domestic and international clients and publications to provide timely economic content for use as predictive intelligence to strengthen its clients’ competitive advantage. For more information visit www.e-forecasting.com

About HotStats

HotStats is a leading company providing profit and loss data to the hospitality industry. We go beyond RevPAR to focus on total revenues and profits conversion. For further information, please visit www.hotstats.com 

Thank you as always for keeping up with economic data and insights.

The e-forecasting.com research team!


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Quarterly Global GDP Forecasts were updated this morning with the following highlights:

   • World GDP forecast to advance 3% in 2015
   • EU GDP forecast to edge up 1.6% in 2015
   • North America GDP forecast to increase 1.3% in 2015
   • South America GDP forecast to increase 1.3% in 2015
   • Asia & Pacific Industrial forecast to gain 2% in 2015
   • Emerging Asia Forecast to jump 5.9% in 2015

Our global report covers each major economic bloc and covers 60 countries with forecasts of the short term and long term (through 2030 for trend analysis), along with inflation projections and full data history. For more information for subscription information, visit here.


e-forecasting Leading Economic Index (eLEI) rose 2.2% in November 2014
eLEI US leading indicator jumped 2.2% in November to 106.3, after a decrease of 0.3% in October. Access to a full report is available with an annual subscription. annual subscription.


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