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EFC News Update:

EDITOR'S NOTE

February 1, 2016
e-forecasting.com eNews
 
US GDP
 

EFC News Update

eLEI Recession Risk Passes 50%:

Welcome to the jungle ... er US recession, that is. Our US leading indicator can no longer be ignored. The six month growth rate has been negative six months in a row and the recession risk has officially passed the 50% thresshold. Hold onto your hats. 2016 is sure to be a bumpy ride.

Mark our words, we are in the midst of a major shift in the economic cycle, here and abroad. These times are when leading indicators truly shine. We use these in our forecasting models to bring you the most comprehensive system of analytics, from the overall economy, to states, or industries like our hotel market forecast reports.

Don't be left in the dark, stay up to date with our latest reports, information below:

Update your subscriptions and stay on top of the latest economic trends and cycles. This way, economic 'news' is never really news to you, following leading indicators will always keep you one step ahead.


Thank you as always for keeping up with economic data and insights.

The e-forecasting.com research team!

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Recessiion Probabilities by e-forecasting.com



January eLEI drops 1.2% to 103.2. Access to a full report is available with an annual subscription. This update will be taken into account for all of our other reports (US forecast, global leading indicators, global GDP forecast and more).
   
 

Year end 2015 forecasts are ready! Our team continues to expand coverage with our quarterly hotel profitability forecasts in partnership with HotStats in key European and MENA markets, with the addition of several "must have" markets. Forecasts include 8 quarters of forecasts on key performance metrics of TRevPAR, GOPPAR, RevPAR, occupancy and room rate. These aren't your father's hotel forecasts, welcome to the next generation of hotel forecast reports.

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